Realizing carbon to amount to peak carbon to counteract is a tough fight. Last year, our country announces to will strive carbon of the Da Feng of carbon of the implementation before 2030, implementation before 2060 is counteracted, cause energy industry heat to discuss. As the arms of the person at the head of a procession of new energy resources, the development of wind report has very important sense to realizing carbon to amount to peak carbon to neutralize a goal. The data of statistic of industry of 1-5 month power that bureau of the sources of energy published recently shows, up to by this year May, report of our country wind installed capacity 290 million kilowatt, grow 34.4% compared to the same period. So, what kind of part does wind report act after all in transition of prospective the sources of energy? Does farther dimensions turn industrial future what kind of bottleneck is development still faced with? Reporter recently special interview but Qin Haiyan of secretary-general of committee of major of wind energy of society of second birth the sources of energy. Wind report is the reporter of main force   that achieves goal of ” of “ double carbon: The struggling target that our country raises carbon to amount to peak carbon to counteract, put forward compose to build the new-style power system that gives priority to body with new energy resources, so in the process in transition of the sources of energy, what kind of part is wind report acting? Qin Haiyan: Wind report is the main force that achieves goal of ” of “ double carbon, if will not did not appear,overturn new technology breakthrough of the gender, power system decarbonization basically will rely on wind report and smooth hot season to generate electricity. In the meantime, because the cost of wind report has generated electricity with traditional fossil the sources of energy,keep balance even more economy, have fall further this latent capacity, the large-scale application of wind report can reduce whole society to use can cost, come true more transition of the sources of energy. Wind report is new during 945 ” of “ increase outfit chance 250 million kilowatt, it is the low demand that achieves goal of ” of “ double carbon. According to change of Tsinghua university climate and the research fruit that can develop an academy continuously " strategy of low carbon development and transition method study " , neutralize a goal to realize carbon, the proportion that the sources of energy consumed the blame fossil the sources of energy in the structure to take the sources of energy 2025 needs to achieve 20% . Development is reformed appoint release " about national economy and social development plan carried out circumstance and the report that national economy and social progress planned draft 2020 2019 " show, 2019, the sources of energy of fossil of our country blame occupies the sources of energy to consume specific gravity for 15.3% . Integrated afore-mentioned analysises, neutralize a goal to realize carbon, consumption of energy of fossil of 945 ” blame occupies “ to increase 5 percent than needing at least. The basis is calculated, consumption of energy of fossil of 945 ” blame occupies “ to increase a percent than every, scene outfit machine is about to increase 100 million kilowatt accordingly, so, 945 ” of “ increase scene outfit chance newly in all 500 million kilowatt. Hypothesis scene takes an in part each, 945 ” of “ need to add wind report newly installed capacity 250 million kilowatt, year all add 50 million kilowatt newly. Organization of collaboration of development of Internet of the sources of energy begins " program of development of 945 ” power studies “ " conclude, consider the factor such as structural adjustment of progress of society of need of transition of the sources of energy, economy, industry integratedly, 945 ” of predicting “ will add wind report newly installed capacity 290 million kilowatt, year all add 58 million kilowatt newly. Development is reformed appoint place of the sources of energy, but the orgnaization such as center of second birth the sources of energy releases jointly " but second birth the sources of energy is looked into 2019 " point out, in average temperature rise in the scene under 2 Celsius, 945 ” of “ add wind report newly installed capacity will achieve 265 million kilowatt, year all add 53 million kilowatt newly. During 945 ” of “ , report of our country wind year increase outfit chance newly the condition of above of 50 million kilowatt has been had. It is capacity of development of technology of wind energy resource ” of nonexistent “ ceiling. Beijing University of climate center combination, development is reformed appoint the assessment that the orgnaization such as academy of the sources of energy of network of place of the sources of energy, nation develops a capacity to wind cable technology shows as a result, reserve of resource of our country wind energy is huge, onshore technology of 140 meters of height can develop a quantity to exceed 5.1 billion kilowatt, maritime depth of water technology of 100 meters of height can develop 50 meters of sea area the quantity makes an appointment with 400 million kilowatt. Future, as the technology progress and cost drop, the amount of wind energy resource that has economy to develop value still can increase. 2 be be in and net and disappear accept respect, much domestic and international research and practice all prove, compose builds the power system that gives priority to body with wind, light nonexistent technology bottleneck. Theoretic, the United States falls base the analysis of hill institute points out clearly, “2009 year, 8 United States and 3 European personages are in the mainstream is written on magazine of electric engineer major civil say, what did not discover ‘ electrified wire netting can admit the authentic, authentic of wind report measure is technical restrict ’” ; 2013 the research of German international Cooperation Agency " 12 opinion about transition of German the sources of energy " point out, “ is become only but second birth the sources of energy is occupied than exceeding 70% when, new store can the technology just is necessary ” , “ comparatives in future in long period of time, electrified wire netting expands will be to compare all the time new store can the technology is more cheap ground general but second birth the sources of energy merges into the method ” of power system. In practice, be in early 2010, 4 cities of Germany, of the 43%~52% of 10 million population year come from wind report with n; To 2020, germany already had the electricenergy production of 27% to come from wind report, the wind report of 27 countries and England is in the European Union power consumption is occupied mediumly than already was being amounted to 16.4% . Combine the current situation, high proportion but second birth the sources of energy receives electrified wire netting to have a requirement. Beijing University of climate center combination, development is reformed appoint the research that the orgnaization such as academy of the sources of energy of network of place of the sources of energy, nation begins makes clear, “ arrives 2050, if machine of wind report outfit is 2.5 billion kilowatt, smooth,volt is installed machine 2.67 billion kilowatt, according to the hour the scene of class generates electricity and n of demand side electric power interacts evenly, need not store can answer with demand side, rely on scene to be able to provide the demand of electric power n of 67% only, abandon wind to abandon smooth rate to be less than at the same time 8% . ”3 it is disappear accept space won't suffer be restricted. Fall according to the United States base the joint research achievement of hill institute and committee of transition of the sources of energy " 2050: A 0 carbon prospect that realizes modernization in the round " , during 945 ” of “ , need not increase chance of coal report outfit newly, can satisfy the increases power demand and power system flexibility newly demand before 2030. The report that collaboration of development of Internet of the sources of energy organizes " program of development of 945 ” power studies transition of the sources of energy and “ " forecast, during 945 ” of “ , increment power demand 1.8 trillion kilowatt hour, report of the coal that put an amount exits 40.53 million kilowatt, by clean the sources of energy contented increment electric power needs sue for peace to replace report of the coal that put an amount to exit, need to increase chance of wind report outfit newly during 945 ” of corresponding “ 290 million kilowatt, year all add 58 million kilowatt newly. 4 it is industrial basis maturity, enough is propped up produce can expand. Go 30 years, in effect of technical innovation, scope double promote below, price of wind phone equipment reduced 70% above, cost of development of wind electric field was reduced nearly 50% . Current, 3 north of “ cost per kilowatt hour of the electricity generated by WECS can obtain the wind report of ” area 0.16 yuan / area of south of kilowatt hour, middle east can achieve 0.34 yuan / kilowatt hour, wind report has become the power source with clear advantage of technical maturity, cost. In the meantime, a firm industrial chain gradually figuration, through modular application of equipment of design, automation, craft is optimized etc, manufacturing efficiency still is rising continuously, for instance the manufacturing time of blade from 48 hours first, fall to 24 current hours, these were established release further produce can foundation. Current, overall with supply chain company to whether can be made expand produce can decision-making, depend on completely industrial program level whether the development end with higher set. Optimizing development distribution is the crucial   reporter that industrial dimensions turns development: During 945 ” of “ , wind cable industry will move toward par times, what pressure will the industry face? How to overcome? Qin Haiyan: The challenge is to develop dimensions how to assure, develop a space how layout. During 945 ” of “ , wind report should come true annual of above of 50 million kilowatt increase outfit chance newly, but how position development space is big question. It is good to be not solved, the industry can grow quickly continuously with respect to impossible implementation. For this, 3 north of “”South of “ middle east”“ maritime ” , “ 3 drive carriage ” to be short of one cannot. The big problem that development of report of wind of area of 3 north ” faces “ is to send with disappear accept. To “ for area of 3 north ” , face larger outfit machine scale, support sends outside high pressure especially be in hard short-term inside solve problem of accept of wind report disappear. And power plant of progressively depress ammunition, especially the electricenergy production of power plant of provide for oneself, will produce the result of get effect instantly. Accompany more and more beginning that accelerate carbon to reduce a process, every enterprise will be henceforth in development, it is important to need to regard as “ carbon ” “ carbon ” think. And wind report since of 0 carbon, also will become one of cheap electric power. This kind rare lack resource, can attract big to demand of low, clean power industry to “ area of 3 north ” is transferred. 3 north of “ ” area ought to base oneself upon at wind report the ” of “ price flat of 0 carbon petty gain, change becomes the ” of “ value upland of industrial business. The big crucial reason that report of wind of middle east south grows depends on developing what construction uses local face to manacle. Wind report is section ground generate electricity technology, the conic tower tube that uses extensively now, subterranean foundation part buries at least 2 meters greatly, won't affect cultivate, and show the region bear station share does not cover an area of 100 square metre. It is with 5MW aircrew exemple, develop machine of outfit of 100 million kilowatt to need to install 20 thousand set, cover an area of 2 million square metre, namely 3000 mus, cover an area of very little. Wind report depends on economy tall, cover an area of little, environment friendly wait for an advantage, can aid force countryside to revitalize. Next, we should be driven team of wind electric machinery is installed in more village, the land natural resources with this dish of vivid countryside, travel resource, industry resource and asset of rural collective sex. After ” of allowance of “ of maritime wind report cancels, how does the industry go? Instantly, maritime wind report still does not have the requirement that par gets online, still need a government to provide appropriate support, aid push its to be in future transfers to get online to par inside 3 years. Current, only Guangdong formulated local allowance policy. Need is strengthened make overall plans, insist to link a development centrally, monomer project scope should not under 1 million kilowatt; Send systematic project to be in charge of investment by electrified wire netting, cost is brought into lose distribution value; Adopt “ to take the place of with award the means of filling ” , support the development of key product and project, implementation spans type innovates; Establish maritime wind report to develop stimulative fund, drive interest rate of project long term loan to fall to 3% the following. The 2nd challenge is, how the market competition order that compose proposes health of superior bad discard, stimulative industry to develop. Current, a ” of bad price war of “ of impetus —— equipment appeared in the industry. If everybody's competition is to be based on quality technology standard, price comparing makes go all out on a datum line, clear give no cause for more criticism. Those who be afraid of is occurrence bad money drives out the random elephant of fine money, quality and dependability are the bottom line that the industry expands certainly. The 3rd challenge is, compose builds the new-style power system that gives priority to body with new energy resources, mean wind, light to be occupied mediumly in prospective power system than prep above 80% , this raised taller requirement to the flexibility of power system. For this, need to strengthen construction of infrastructure of electrified wire netting first. It is the contact circuitry construction that increases the area that cross a province, the electric power trade that increases the area that cross a province trades ability; 2 it is to raise the intelligence of distribution network to change a standard, integrated distributed power source, store can, the resource such as bear, undertake control and market trade cooperating with changing moving. Ought to accelerate construction of flexibility power source next. On one hand, make full use of the flexibility resource of traditional power source inside power system; On the other hand, play is of all kinds store can technical advantage comes to those who satisfy different time scale to go up attemper demand. In addition, still need to build get used to new energy resources large-scale and the net needs commercialize a mechanism. Compose of technology of Internet of the sources of energy of have the aid of builds systems of next generation intelligence power, electric power can fix a price in real time according to market demand, return to true commodity attribute thereby, the price will replace frequency to become adjust the effective signal that supply and demand balances, adjust by demand from the supply before turn into to demand “ follows wind and dance ”“ lets light and move ” . Accelerate technology and   of commercial pattern innovation to promote wind cable project to build value   reporter continuously: To “ during 945 ” the development of wind cable industry, what kind of proposal do you have? Qin Haiyan: It is to must accelerate technology and commercial pattern innovation, promote wind cable project to build value continuously. Respect of onshore wind report, the proposal becomes a shareholder through land, the means such as PPP mode, project of implementation wind cable invests construction and each district to fulfil countryside to revitalize deepness confluence of the strategy, make construction of small town of development of wind cable project and development of each district travel, characteristic, the people's livelihood improves the close together tie such as the project, make vast a rural area and dweller cogent be benefited from which, form more extensive interest community, stimulative place economy and society develop. In respect of maritime wind report, proposal exert oneself drives development of project of maritime wind cable and marine grass, seawater to make construction of travel of construction of island of hydrogen, the sources of energy, sightseeing, marine integrated test site wait to be united in wedlock, the strategic height that makes develop maritime wind report and our country to build marine economy agrees. 2 it is to pass a technology to innovate to improve wind report economy further, it is the another key work that must push next. For instance, should accelerate headstock, gear case bearing, flexible the research and development of core technology component such as dc sea cable, those who raise equipment is homebred change rate; Accelerate drive group of large wind electric machinery to detect experimental platform, especially ground of catenary of drive of group of large wind electric machinery is common the construction that tests a system; Advance wind report and the deepness confluence that digitlize technical measure continuously. The contribution with the main fall of cost per kilowatt hour of the electricity generated by WECS comes from wind report the promotion of generating capacity and efficiency, is the fall of cost not only. 10 years ago, the wind rotor diameter of group of mainstream wind electric machinery is 77 meters, had achieved 156 meters now, average cost per kilowatt hour of the electricity generated by WECS from 0.6~0.8 yuan / kilowatt hour, fall present 0.3~0.4 yuan / kilowatt hour. Diameter of new blade wind rotor has broken through 200 meters, can predict future 3 to 5 years, cost per kilowatt hour of the electricity generated by WECS can fall again half. The area with nice resource of northwest ministry wind energy, it is 0.3 yuan probably now / kilowatt hour, will fall after 5 years 0.15 yuan / kilowatt hour. Middle east south is 0.4 yuan now / kilowatt hour left and right sides, the meeting inside 5 years falls 0.2 yuan / kilowatt hour. Report of coastal waters wind predicts to be able to fall inside 5 years 0.4~0.5 yuan / kilowatt hour, report of high seas wind can fall in 8 years or so 0.4~0.5 yuan / kilowatt hour. This has not included the overlay that the technical application such as aircrew dependability and the complete lifecycle management that are based on big data artificial intelligence brings to promote effect.

2024
Newsolar Conference
15-18 December

New York City