One, domestic PVC market is analysed 1, this week of 　 of overview of domestic PVC market (2023.06.09-2023.06.15) price of the spot market inside week contrasts integratedly appear to rise small, above all dish inside brunt agreement 09 appear inside week the near future is new low 5596, rebound along with sole of later period price rise, also be in inside week of spot market price low a mix with appeared fixed go up expression. The influencing factor inside week: 1, futures dish face from last week 5 begin low a horizontal stroke dish, appeared in Zhou Er subsequently before the nadir is broken low, before half paragraphs of time inside week all with low be issued to lower levels is given priority to. But sole of price of occurrence nadir later period rebounds appeared the clear trend that decrease a storehouse. 2, mood of the commodity inside week improves upgoing main factor depends on, people bank will develop open market on June 13 7 day period are gone against counter-purchase an operation 2 billion yuan, interest rate of operation of Central Bank open market drops 10 base point, be helpful for carrying brace up market confidence, be helpful for stabilizing cost of financing of market main body, it is the balance of give attention to two or morethings that reflected many policy end. Commodity mood turns to warm and continue to ferment in Zhousan subsequently go up. 3, PVC period showed two city to also appear to rise apparently because of this message, but the main area performance of PVC itself is weaker, among them price of the calcium carbide inside week drops ceaselessly, and PVC quote will reduce model of Chinese Taiwan stage July 20-30 dollar / ton. Accordingly the main area of oneself is propped up not enough. 4, bureau of statistic of country of four period of time is announced 1 one countrywide estate will develop investment to drop compared to the same period in May 7.2% . Landed data is behaved again slant weak. 5, outside dish respect on June 14, beautiful couplet store after FOMC of monetary policy committee is met, announce, the target interval of interest rate of will federal fund is maintained in 5.0% to 5.25% changeless. In light of whole inside week period it is certain to show two cities to show rebound go up trend. From the point of appraisal contrast, area of its China north rises 50-55 yuan / ton, hua Dong area rises 30-55 yuan / ton, hua Na area rises 40 yuan / ton, northeast area drops 50 yuan / ton, china in the area rises 50 yuan / ton, southwest rises 35 yuan / ton.

Futures respect: Before the PVC09 inside week adds up to price of fix a date to break low, occurrence year nadir 5596, but gain profit along with sheet of the line space on sole of later period price finish. Zhou Neicang measures change, among them last week 5 decrease a storehouse 14433 hands, zhou Yi decreases a storehouse 13666 hands, zhouer adds a storehouse 7091 hands, zhou San decreases a storehouse 42763 hands. Whole of Zhou Si futures dish inside occurrence V go situation, the high point of period price did not surmount Zhou San, along with be issued to lower levels of later period price, but much emptier bilateral match each other in strength of whole opening a warehouse. Among them many 24.5% contrast leave for nothing 24.2% . Zhou Sizeng storehouse 16050, end agreement of closing quotation PVC09 maintains a warehouse 907283 hands, closing quotation price 5730.

2, market of region of domestic mainstream consumption analyses 　 China north: Market price of Heibei area PVC rises inside case week, but atmosphere slants weak, merchandise on hand clinchs a deal turn weak, solid sheet clinchs a deal not much. End Zhou Si 5 model makings the 5480-5520 that contain tax yuan / ton send, unconscious factory carries 5300-5350 inside yuan / ton. Northern region base difference offers 09 agreement - (350-400-500) . Hua Dong: Tone goes up inside week of Changzhou PVC market, but hand in cast not lukewarm not fire, base poor change is not big, meet downstream low hang only filling money, ask dish reach purchase enthusiasm general. End Zhou Si 5 model electric stone collects a library to carry referenced 5600-5650 now yuan / ton (do not contain outfit) . Area radical differs Huadongde offer 09 agreement - (50-150) . Hua Na: Inside week of value of market of Guangzhou area PVC small go up, a price offers and spot price supply of goods coexists appear alternately, purchase enthusiasm downstream not tall, the merchandise on hand inside the market clinchs a deal atmosphere slants weak. End Zhou Sipu is connected 5 model electric stone merchandise on hand carries the mainstream to clinch a deal oneself referenced 5650-5730 yuan / ton. Area radical differs Huanade offer 09 agreement - (0-50) good pink + 20. Ethylene law offers 1000 model send 5760 yuan to the newspaper / ton, big buy 1000 model merchandise on hand carries newspaper 5720-5750 oneself yuan / ton. Model of Chinese Taiwan stage will open to booking quote to continue to reduce 20-30 dollar in July / ton, indian market annulus drops than will reducing the price 2 times in June 20 dollars / ton, in 760 dollars / ton CIF India; Other area drops 30 dollars / ton, CFR China is in 755 dollars / ton, CIF southeast Asia is in 750 dollars / ton, FOB China Taiwan is in 710 dollars / ton. Model of Chinese Taiwan stage sailing date will quote in July: (dollar / ton)

3, PVC period shows base difference is comparative

4, PVC storehouse only daily paper

5, hind city forecasts futures respect: PVC09 added up to price of fix a date to appear around in the horizontal stroke of course dish phenomenon, nod high among them run not farther breakthrough, but dish of the face add both sides of storehouse much air to all have a storehouse, the futures that because this narrow cut is fluctuant,leaves dish appearance comes round to see tendercy be not worth. Commodity mood of whole also is in successive two days rebound after rising, enter now technical in adjustment trend. Technical level shows cloth forest belt (13, 13, 2) 3 course mouth is smooth to, the MACD of day wire level (12, 26, 9) present golden fork, but string of week line month did not close. What commodity appears below Central Bank policy is successive rise faint the idea that has an end, and PVC main area supports insufficient case fall, makings is short-term in the expression of period price still can continue around in the 5710 limits that fluctuate 100 a little bit have course. Respect of merchandise on hand: Period show what two city rebound continuously to did not cause spot market to turn into be on friendly terms, eliminate of company of downstream instead products just needed besides did not have new filling goods intention, we also had been mentioned in front set protect business to have the action that take money. But a price begins spot market of share of four period of time reduce, and clinch a deal turn poor. Still slant from the point of PVC main area weak, but long-term low confused PVC prices squelched PVC start working is led, rate of load condensate of this start working of week PVC whole 68% , annulus comparing drops 4 percent. But real estate behaves the foundation that owes beautiful to swim up and down continuously products company order is insufficient, the restricts the expensive stock that cause to become industrial chain all the time worry of its demand. PVC main area does not have window but character, but of the near future rebound can see in the trend, although PVC is basic be issued to lower levels of face existence calcium carbide, and landed data is behaved not beautiful, and below the circumstance of the sky of 3 kinds of benefit that price of model of stage of iteration China Taiwan drops, of whole period show expression to did not appear weak force instead more in light of the commodity big trend of joint whole, short-term the PVC in still can continue narrow cut is arranged give priority to.