Adjacent benzene is general-purpose colophony - 450, double-loop (DC) the hand papers colophony - 420, man-made stone / stone stone colophony - 390, pull crowded colophony - 420, twine structural layer colophony - 460, twine a benzene liner colophony - 460, colophony of NPG mould pressing - 710, colophony of DPG mould pressing - 590. Raw material market glides considerably, colophony market price reduces 300 yuan. Market of this week raw material is major variety price glides quickly, downstream demand quickness is atrophic at the same time, rate of go into operation of UPR factory production falls 30%-40% left and right sides, guangdong area suffers be restricted the film is noisy, rate of UPR plant go into operation falls extent is increased. At the beginning of April, we judge the peak period that epicycle rises in price to be able to appear in the last ten-day of a month in May, before 2 weeks, rate of go into operation of plant of our early-warning UPR is about to begin to drop, from in the past the market of 2 months evolves into a process to look, basically confirmed us before judgement. Current market condition is, the effective demand of terminal market still exists, but because all sorts of raw material rise in price range is too big, cause a project to exceed budgetary situation more serious, very much downstream project is forced to suspend construction; And Guangdong area exports a situation downstream good, but because power supply is insufficient, the factory is restricted generally report, major area executes “ to stop in rotation of 3 4 ” to produce, and because UPR factory produces periodic limitation, a lot of factories are forced to buy dynamo lash-up to use oneself. At present this is planted circumstance, after the last ten-day of a month in predicting to want to last to June at least. The blame reason that should command heavy goods price as governmental repeated orders rises, and currency appreciates of brought import commodity price drop, the price of current and steely, cement, glass, nonferrous metal and product of major chemical industry has begun overall fall after a rise, this is very advantageous to the project reactivate of follow-up terminal market, at the same time more and more upper reaches stop production overhaul a factory in succession answer produce, and new increase production can put in the market in succession, we are accordingly early predict in the beginning of the year, the directional change of whole market will begin from 3 quarters likely. And show level, because the active stock of raw material of a lot of upper reaches is insufficient still, still existing the likelihood that level sex rebounds, because of this price fluctuant still do not stabilize. " experience introduction " : The downstream client of UPR is more very with export or project kind the market is relevant, accordingly downstream user often hopes to be in accept the order when can will export order for goods or one-time all lock decides the UPR amount that project order place needs and value, but the force with upriver market because UPR industry is right enough lack and control force, the price of UPR factory can passive follow of price of upriver raw material change and undertake adjustment. Accordingly, every time UPR price appears relatively during changing substantially, create the contradiction between UPR factory and downstream user easily. Divide the experience of the enterprise according to eye forehead, good means of settlement is UPR produces factory and downstream client to undertake deepness bind, the interest shares everybody, the risk is carried together, who doesn't blame. Particular way is: In sign gross contract when, sign a price to change adjust methodological clause, namely basis " colophony price index " the price that announces is fluctuant extent, both sides assumes the price severally 50% of fluctuant part, calculate every week the price, implement the price actually as what delivering goods day is in a week. The practice of partial enterprise proves, this kind of method not only fairness is reasonable, and those who have the price but foresight, need not both sides delivers goods every time want bargain. This experience consults for everybody.