On July 17, newspaper of Chinese economy half an year was announced 2023. Since this year, restore normalization to move in the round as economic society, our country economy runs progressively look forward to firm to good, development quality promotes steadily, but also facing challenge of a few risks. How does look upon anabiosis first half of the year posture? What policy move does second half of the year have to be worth to expect? Xinhua News Agency rolls out “ China economy 17 days round-table meeting ” is large program of entire media interview, head period invite economy of countryman of national statistic bureau Fu Linghui of director of integrated statistic department, country develops innovation appoint national economy manages vice director Li Hui and Liu Yuanchun of president of university of Shanghai finance and economics are the same as a stage integratedly in all word, area of area of “ of the economy in year watchs focusing ” . The form that anabiosis: Restore in world economy be issued to lower levels to veryTranslate half annual report, gross domestic product is compared the corresponding period grew 5.5% last year, social consumable total volume of retail sales grows 8.2% compared to the same period, tertiary industy increases a value to grow 6.4%…… multinomial index to show compared to the same period, our country economy runs continuance to restore to good posture, at the same time the partial index such as prices, exit is added fast put delay to also cause attention. “ taking one with another, economy moves restore to good, development quality promotes steadily. ” Fu Linghui is in “ China economy says when interview of round-table meeting ” , annual accelerated economic incremental ratio apparently last year first half of the year this year, this lies in whole world economy below the setting of fluctuant be issued to lower levels special not easy. Fu Linghui introduces, first half of the year, production of industry and agriculture increases continuously, growth of whole of service line of business is rapidder, contact especially model, gather model service line of business supports action to serving industry more apparent; Contribution needs to promote steadily inside, consumption is pulled to what economy grows move increase apparently; High quality development is advanced steadily, the posture that the industry grows Xiang Zhonggao to carry stride is more apparent. Since 2 quarters, include bank of U.N. , world, classics to add up to the organization of much home international such as the organization and orgnaization to be increased in succession Chinese economy growth anticipates this year, reveal society of border going abroad to grow the confidence of foreground to Chinese economy. Commerce of inadequacy of kinetic energy of growth of economy of “ alive bound, whole world is added fast below the background that puts delay, the characteristic with Chinese economy very outstanding first half of the year growth is inside the contributive rate that needs to grow to economy is compared the corresponding period was mixed last year annual had apparent promotion last year. ” Li Hui is in “ China economy says when interview of round-table meeting ” . Manufacturing industry of dimensions above equipment increases a value to add fast fast at integral industry add fast; Car of solar battery, new energy resources, charge growth of picket product output is rapid; Investment of hi-tech estate investment and infrastructure folk investment, manufacturing industry folk add fast add quickly at integral investment fast …… Li Hui expresses, the window on these economic structures is development of Chinese economy high quality reflect. Scan widely whole world, world economy growth puts delay continuously, inflationary pressure still bigger, the whole world is main macroscopical economy takes economic put oneself in another's position situation and policy become divided. Liu Yuanchun is in “ China economy says when interview of round-table meeting ” , put in the whole world to change greatly the observation below bureau and setting of century epidemic situation, chinese economy is added first half of the year this year fast look from global limits remain a higher growth rate. Bear the state that control: Economy of objective and adj look upon runs medium risk to challenge Chinese economy to restore hard-earned steadily, but partial index is added fast continuously fall after a rise, also cause global height attention, there is no lack of among them the sound that a few “ call economy of empty ” China. How does economy run medium risk challenge to look? Fu Linghui expresses, national economy restores a foundation still flabby solid, external environment more hasten is complex and austere, be issued to lower levels of world economic fluctuation, contradiction of sex of a few structures highlights home quite, drive economy to last to good still need to continue hard. Get the problem of ” of “ difference in temperature between to macroscopical data and small impressions, paying Ling Hui to think basically is by macroscopical data omnibus the local sex that experiences with microcosmic main body is caused. Citing says Fu Linghui, for instance everybody experiences overter consumptive value, often price of individual feeling consumption rises very high, but consumptive price index rises gentler still. Among them very main reason is to consumed price data to use Wu of package representative commodity kimono to have integrated statistic, reflective is change of price of whole society consumption, but specific to a certain person, the likelihood consumed the one share in package commodity and service only. Look in Liu Yuanchun, cannot know epicycle to anabiosis currently with old views, need is mixed from global perspective historical perspective, put in big calamity of global big epidemic disease and whole world to change greatly especially undertake grinding integratedly sentencing below the perspective of the bureau.
Of times of the epidemic situation after “ anabiosis follow to be normalized before, anabiosising periodicly is different. ” Liu Yuanchun says, this round anabiosising is to be in above all repair does business on social rehabilitate foundation, just be profit rehabilitate and balance sheet rehabilitate next, this process can have very fluctuant, endless, because this needs a new perspective,understand this round to anabiosis.
Below setting of global high inflation, prices of near future our country goes low to cause attention continuously.
Li Hui expresses, current price total level is inferior get sex of sex of a few inputs, periodic, structure and seasonal wait for multiple element influence, add cardinal number of the corresponding period is higher last year, bring about extent of fall after a rise of partial commodity price bigger, pull from data low prices rises, but this kind of posture is level sex, provisionality.
Li Hui expresses, although international environment changes to be deepened to the adverse effect of Chinese economy, but Chinese economy or the development posture that came true to pick up to be stabilized to good, leveling-out, finance.
Safe base: Economy grows the mainstream and long-term trend to do not have a change
Plan as a whole good progress and safety, it is to ensure economy lasts healthy progress and the key with social stable overall situation.
Obtain employment is the basiccest the people's livelihood. Each just are highlighted since this year had done work of steady obtain employment, obtain employment maintains overall stability, but young unemployment rate still lies exalted, june, to 24 years old unemployment rate of labour force investigation is 16 years old 21.3% .
Liu Yuanchun expresses, in recent years, the undergraduate lasts enlarge action, since overlay epidemic situation the element such as defer obtain employment, slow obtain employment, make college graduate dimensions ceaseless innovation is tall, increase obtain employment pressure.
We want “ the problem of obtain employment of rational look upon undergraduate. ” Liu Yuanchun says, current, the country put forward to accelerate the wholesale move of the young obtain employment such as college graduate. For instance before inside the university spring device is common ended to May, but adjourned this year, shanghai money is greeted greatly new round campus invite applications for a job. The near future still has a significant move is pair of graduation but long-term not the crowd of obtain employment undertakes man-to-man all-around the side is helped up, we built a such obtain employment to dog at present system.
Food safety is crucial, abundant of summer grain crops criterion annual is firm. This year bureau ground dash forward whether to rot by “ field rain ” can affect crop of summer grain crops?
Li Hui says, this year although summer harvest encounters condition of a few unfavorable climate is challenged, but the whole nation is faced actively up and down, summer grain crops reaps a bumper harvest again. Autumn grain sows an area firm in have add, topological features of integral agriculture production is certain in to good, food safety is ensured on the whole strong.
Weather of high temperature of much ground of near future whole nation lasts, entire network comes ahead of schedule with electric fastigium, contradiction of supply and demand of sex of regional, period of time still is put, had done the sources of energy of the estivate that greet a peak to protect for crucial.
Li Hui expresses, in recent years, through catching power source construction, fuel is supplied, unit management, move attemper and the 5 respects such as demand side management work, generate electricity outfit machine is in grow smoothly continuously. Current, all moves a power plant to put coal to still be in perch, during doing the estivate that greet a peak, electric power is protected also have a base for having hope.
Speak of how to ensure industrial catenary to supply catenary safety, liu Yuanchun thinks, the most important is to pass crucial technology innovation to fill short board, forge is long board, enhance industrial catenary to supply catenary tenacity. We want “ to there is one to plant in process of play chess of big country rich strategical understanding, be problem of ’ of ‘ card neck appearing is not our backward child, just is us those who break through backward, progress is indicative. ”
Li Hui expresses, although be faced with a lot of risk to challenge, the mainstream that Chinese economy grows and long-term trend do not have a change.
Of kinetic energy change: Grab seize growth new opportunity
Should to anabiosising the risk in the process is challenged, how to weigh model to grow new kinetic energy?
Look in Liu Yuanchun, alive bound hundred years those who have no is big change bureau in evolving quickly, want the problem that adj look upon encounters at present already, also want to begin to breed new competition ability and strategic collaboration dot, accomplish accident union.
Capture new kinetic energy, new opportunity of ability race to control. Fu Linghui points out, develop new kinetic energy to want to pay close attention to burgeoning industry not only, also want to pay close attention to traditional industry transition to upgrade. To the enterprise character, can seize tripartite face opportunity mainly:
It is the development good luck that the industry upgrades, accompany the dweller amplification to demand of high quality supply, low end makes Xiang Zhonggao carry production change contain tremendous potential; The 2 good luck that are digital economy progress, the digitlization trend that produces end is accelerated, bring digitlization transition new opportunity for the enterprise; The 3 development good luck that are green transition, green production lifestyle is accelerated form, the look of things of development of industry of green product, green is good, becoming economy to expand new point of growth. The new development opportunity that “ new kinetic energy brings has wide perspective. ”
Car of new energy resources makes the outstanding window that nearly two years Chinese economy grows. Look from data, quantity of produce and sale of car of Chinese new energy resources all breaks through 3.7 million first half of the year this year, add fast in 40% above.
Li Hui says, will perfect supportive policy measure further next, key guiding supports and encourage company of car of new energy resources to grab seize development opportunity, promote an industry innovation capability, strengthen open communication and cooperation, enhance core competition ability of the industry.
“ believes to be able to more industry experiences the process that this kind of maturity and change go, future shows itself the new kinetic energy that economy of heavy model China grows. ” Li Hui says.
Answer to lift rightly: In wanting to give short-term policy to also want to push already long-term reform
Current, whether does China of outside height attention have enough space in macroscopical policy kit, the policy that which side can you have next and reform act come on stage?
Li Hui expresses, policy strength of before home of United States of corresponding Yu Ou and our country a few years, next policy space is enough answer current and short-term question.
The State Council that will hold on June 16 is standing the conference, research drives economy to pick up continuously to step of good a batch of policy, include to increase strength of macroscopical policy adjusting control, exert oneself to enlarge significant demand, do become actor entity by force economy, be on guard dissolve all directions side such as key domain risk.
Supply of these policy give attention to two or morethings mix “ demand, have sth in mind is mixed currently long-term, develop as a whole and safe, reflected the specific aim of policy and maneuverability. ” Li Hui says, the country develops innovation appoint will drive concerned respect to publish relevant policy measure as soon as possible, promote the policy that put an amount and increment policy to send force jointly, ensure policy falls to real point, form resultant force. Still lay in plan newly policy on sufficient survey foundation, abound policy kit ceaselessly, ensure the moment of truth can be taken reach, use on, visibility effect.
Reform is to stimulate the radical move that motivation and vigor give birth to inside economic progress. Look in Liu Yuanchun, should sex of structure of short-term policy, medium-term policy and in gender, mechanism sex reforms long-term system 3 big move have organic couple. “ our second half of the year is not simple ground depends on policy to solve a problem absolutely, however total scheme. He emphasizes ” , this includes the re-orientation of short-term finance monetary policy, of social policy come on stage again, strategical the abidance of industrial policy is carried out, and series deepens those who reform act to publish be born.
Li Hui expresses, next level countries develop innovation appoint will roll out reform act around tripartite face: Around high quality management main body is bred push reform, build more the market competition environment that optimizes fairness; Around system of high level market construction pushs reform, advance the whole nation to unite big market to build better be born; Better around efficient market and promising government union pushs reform, system of admittance of farther perfect market.
“ China economy never has level road, we are improve the health ceaselessly in answering a series of risks to challenge a course, development expands, and in this process, the government also accumulated experience of very rich macroscopical adjusting control. ” Li Hui says.
The situation of development: Confident to economy of second half of the year
Understand Chinese economy, should look already form also should look situation, should see a quantity also want to look already qualitative, even if look,also should want a horizontal stroke to look already.
Look into second half of the year to go situation, fu Linghui expresses, current, after Chinese economy casts off epidemic situation to affect, enter stage by stage restore a gender to increase level, run to be returned to to normal course stage by stage as economy, prospective general by restore a gender grow to change outspread sex to growth gradually.
Enter “ China economy 3 experts of round-table meeting ” think consistently, although a few economic norms appeared to fluctuate, but Chinese economy tenacity strong, latent capacity big, energy is enough, do not have a change for a long time to nice main area, go to Chinese economy second half of the year situation is confident.
Specific for, economy of the China that prop up steadily to it is good to have a series of interests very much element ——
From demand end looks, consumption moves action to will continue to show to the belt of whole economy. The loop as production and demand is more smooth, dweller consumption apiration and confidence hopeful are stabilized further and promote. Infrastructure investment and manufacturing industry investment have certain tenacity, to expanding inside need, drive economy to increase action of can progressively play.
It is in order to consume exemple, relevant section published a series of including that close to consumption of car of new energy resources, hurried lives in the new policy such as consumption since this year, a lot of places also are holding of all kinds hurried actively to consume an activity. “ is overall look, the situation that spending of second half of the year increases continuously still can continue, also can continue to develop to economy is driven wholy. ” Fu Linghui says.
From the point of manufacturing end, move to improve stage by stage as economy, in contact service course of study restores a foundation to go up, service line of business also meets sex of more productivity, life to improve stage by stage, line of business of farther play service is right the main effect of steady growth.
Look for a long time from which, the kinetic energy of Chinese innovation drive is increasing, economic progress latent capacity and vacuum are giant, development base is solid, have exceed wholesale market dominant position and complete industrial system, labour force quality raises …… ceaselessly
Although “ China economy faces a few difficulty and challenge, but look integratedly, whole economy runs second half of the year can improve stage by stage, a few macroscopical index also will progressively hasten is firm, to good progress posture is met overall maintain. ” Fu Linghui says.
Sturdy confidence, insist to develop, insist to innovate.
We should face up to “ the wave motion of short-term China economy, but also should see Chinese economy is long-term to good trend. ” Li Hui says, “ as the Party Central Committee, the State Council the further fall to the ground of each decision-making deploy gets effective, we have confidence, conditional, capable also to drive economic structure to be optimized continuously, growth momentum increases continuously, development posture lasts to good. ”
Origin: Negotiable securities of Xinhua News Agency, Shanghai signs up for
