Weak potential of value of epoxy resin market moved 2023, accept whole world of be confined to on one hand aggravate of conflict of reason of ground of macroscopical economy be issued to lower levels, international and terminal consumption anticipate not as good as wait for element influence, cause value of epoxy resin market on the other hand low increase what main reason or home supply ceaselessly. End by 2023, market of Chinese liquid epoxy resin all valence 13500 yuan / ton the bucket puts on a factory, relatively drop at the beginning of 2023 2100 yuan / ton, drop amount to 13.46% , market of solid epoxy resin all valence 13000 yuan / ton the bucket puts on a factory, relatively drop at the beginning of 2023 1400 yuan / ton, drop amount to 9.38% .
Cost is propped up driving, spring Festival around is inertial push go up
The beginning of the year, the market is handed in project aura insipid, epoxy resin market is arranged move. Spring Festival holiday draws near, wait-and-see mood is grumous, buyers and sellers leaves city off in succession. Section hind returns city, market of double raw material greets make a good beginning, double phenolic A suffers cost to raise prop up add to push go up, annulus oxygen goes up chloric propane market is small, of raw material price pull ceaselessly go up, the downstream Xiaochan that enter town just needed filling money, new sheet discusses the price to go up, the market is handed in cast warm up stage by stage.
02The 2nd phase
New increase production can be released, downstream consumption anticipates not as good as
Demand of consumption of epoxy resin terminal is behaved actually goodish, overlay cost has hard prop up, weak force of market price division glides. In Feburary end, price of double raw material glides ceaselessly, cost end is formed hard prop up; Put into production of buy of 2 new clothes inside field, device of put into production of overlay early days is stabilized stage by stage, grow in quantity of market supply of goods, but downstream demand has hard change, unbalance of the supply and demand inside field is serious, multiple interest empty news makes state of mind of the person that control line of business, the competition ability inside field is increased, supply of goods of low of ceaseless emerge in large numbers, profit of partial liquid factory is hanged, real only to the limit of one's capacity is insufficient inside field, hand in project aura fatigued and weak.
03The 3rd phase
Hand in cast atmosphere refuse to budge, interval of market price case is fluctuant
The middle ten days of a month arrived in March interval of epoxy resin market is fluctuant in April. Unbalance of supply and demand of epoxy resin market, atmosphere of the refuse to budge inside field continues, drop along with epoxy resin price to low, course of study person mood yielding benefit is abate, become divided of market of area epoxy resin is serious, supply of goods of field memory low, terminal company participates in buy to maintain a few just needed, solid sheet clinchs a deal to the limit of one's capacity is insufficient. The filling goods of downstream phase sex, drive those who run money business to pull go up mood, the market exchanges views centre of gravity brief sex goes tall, but end along with downstream stock up, negotiate the price somewhat fall after a rise, wave motion of integral price interval is not big.
04The 4th phase
Downstream consumption is off-season, discuss centre of gravity to go again drop
51 section hind return, use up inventory to give priority to downstream, the buy that enter town is finite, the market is handed in project aura insipid, double raw material accepts oneself cost and supply and demand main side effect, market focus goes drop, face of epoxy resin cost props up inadequacy, narrow cut of market price case goes low; In May the last ten-day of a month, phenol and acetone drop situation enlarge, weak situation of double phenolic A changes raw material hard, epoxy resin suffers raw material to procrastinate drag, and downstream terminal demand did not see improvement, firm stock is exalted, partial manufacturer pressure installation negative charge is reduced or jockey to alleviate, but very few to market impact, new sheet discusses centre of gravity to play detective further, market price case is achieved in recent years low a level.
05The 5th phase
Demand is little get warm again after a cold spell, turn of market price case goes tall
Rhythm of get warm again after a cold spell of epoxy resin demand is steady in have add, overlay becomes this stopping to drop rebound profit is good upgrade, epoxy resin core is strong pull go up. Early days, although cost end is strengthened somewhat, but downstream demand is finite, procrastinate drag the market to discuss centre of gravity to go up. Enter “ gold 9 ” period, neat situation of centre of gravity of double raw material goes up, epoxy resin cost carries pressure to increase, together with promotes downstream demand is little, manufacturing company offers carry go up smooth, solid sheet exchanges views give priority to.
06The 6th phase
Perch has hard maintain, market low competition is intense
11 section hind return, price war of epoxy resin trade is more intense. Centre of gravity of double raw material slants weak, cost end is formed hard prop up, the manufacturer offers centre of gravity goes low, supply of goods of the low inside field is ceaseless emerge in large numbers, market competition ability is increased, buy downstream go up to be not bought drop the sentiment is strong, use up inventory raw material to give priority to more, the market exchanges views heart weak power to glide, industry gain is long-term deficit. Year end, drop to along with epoxy resin price low, downstream much smaller Chan Gang needs filling money, the market exchanges views centre of gravity low arrange.
07City is forecasted after
In light of whole, anticipate A of raw material double phenol slanted to go infirmly 2024 situation, annulus oxygen chloric propane anticipates interval wave motion is given priority to, cost whole props up inadequacy; Epoxy resin is supplied last as before outspread, produce can superfluous apparent, overlay suffers be confined to macroscopical economy influence, downstream demand anticipates promotion is finite, the market begs pattern to change hard for be more than. Because this predicts weak potential of epoxy resin market is fluctuant 2024, the price anticipates maintain in low a level. Anticipate price perch is in 9, October portion, the price is low be in 6, July, 2024 price of liquid epoxy resin or in 12500-15000 yuan / ton between move, value of market of solid epoxy resin or in 12000-15000 yuan / ton between move.